Future Education
Leadership & Change Management

The AI Paradox: Why Smart Universities Buy Tools But Stay Inefficient

Thiago Chaer

Your institution made a smart decision. You invested in AI. Brilliant strategic thinking for the future.

But something's wrong. You're still spending days on tasks that should take hours. Your team still complains about process friction. You're still fixing the same problems. Expenses haven't dropped. Satisfaction hasn't risen.

You bought speed. You kept the broken infrastructure.

This is the AI Paradox in higher education.

The Paradox Explained

Universities today face a peculiar contradiction. Technology capability has never been more advanced. Yet operational frustration has never been higher.

Why? Because they're trying to automate broken workflows.

Think of it this way: Putting a Formula 1 engine in a 1970s chassis is theoretically faster and practically dangerous.

When you use AI to automate an inefficient process, you automate inefficiency at scale. You get fast failure instead of slow failure. The problem compounds instead of disappears.

A Real Example: The Allocation Disaster

One institution implemented AI-powered professor allocation. Sounds intelligent. On paper, it was. They had AI solving a 5-month manual process. Faster, right?

Wrong.

The underlying workflow was broken. It required 5 months because:

  • Faculty data was scattered across 4 registrar offices using the same system differently
  • Business rules were never documented (everyone just "knew" how they worked)
  • Coordination required 11 people meeting repeatedly to align on conflicts
  • Payroll integration was manual and error-prone

The AI was fast at automating this chaos. But chaos automated quickly is still chaos. The institution saved time on allocation but still had conflicts, still had errors, still had frustrated staff.

Then they stepped back. They did something radical: they stopped automating and started redesigning.

They mapped actual workflows. They found workarounds. They documented business rules that had only existed in people's heads. They rebuilt the process around intelligence.

Then they applied AI.

Result: Allocation time went from 5 months to 1 month. Conflicts: 95% prevented. Payroll errors: eliminated. Staff satisfaction: transformed.

The sequence mattered. Reverse it, and you waste resources. Follow it, and you build something sustainable.

What Top Performers Actually Do

Over 10 years working with 80+ institutions globally, we've identified a pattern in the ones seeing real ROI from AI and automation.

They don't follow this sequence: ❌ Buy AI Tool → Try to automate everything → Frustrated staff → Marginal results

They follow this: ✅ Diagnose → Redesign → Implement Technology → Amplify

Phase 1: Diagnostic (Deep Listening)

  • Map actual workflows, not imagined ones
  • Interview teams at every level
  • Find workarounds and understand why they exist
  • Identify root causes, not symptoms

Key insight: Workarounds are data. When smart people create unofficial solutions, they're telling you the system is broken. Listen.

Phase 2: Redesign (Strategic Thinking)

  • Rebuild processes around intelligence, not just speed
  • Align technology with how people actually work
  • Eliminate friction points that create workarounds
  • Document business rules that existed only in heads

Key insight: Redesign before technology. If you skip this, you're optimizing the wrong thing.

Phase 3: Technology Layer (Intelligent Implementation)

  • Implement AI where it amplifies excellence
  • Integrate systems so data flows automatically
  • Automate what doesn't need human judgment
  • Free people for work that does

Key insight: Technology serves redesign, not the reverse.

Why Institutions Get This Wrong

Most universities approach AI like they approached every technology: "We need to be innovative. Let's buy the newest tool."

That's treating AI as a purchase problem, not a strategy problem. AI isn't innovation. Intelligence is. Strategy is. Discipline is.

The difference:

Traditional Approach:

  • "AI will automate administrative work"
  • Result: Faster broken processes

Strategic Approach:

  • "Let's understand where value is lost. Redesign. Then automate that brilliance"
  • Result: Fundamentally better operations

One institution we worked with planned to implement an AI scheduling system costing a significant budget allocation. They expected 20% efficiency improvement. We suggested something radical: "First, let's understand why scheduling fails today."

Diagnosis revealed: scheduling conflicts happened because business rules weren't clear, data wasn't unified, and faculty preferences weren't systematically captured. The LMS wasn't the problem. The process was.

Redesign addressed those root causes. Then they implemented a modest AI layer for optimization.

Results:

  • Technology investment: 18% of original planned budget (massive savings)
  • Efficiency Improvement: 95% of conflicts prevented (not managed, prevented)
  • Return on investment: 5-6X vs. 1.2X for traditional tool-focused approaches

They saved significant resources and got exponentially better results.

What This Means for Your Institution

Your situation probably looks familiar:

  • You've invested in technology (or considered investing)
  • You see potential but not breakthrough results
  • Your team is still struggling with process friction
  • Your leadership is questioning the ROI

This isn't because AI doesn't work in education. It works brilliantly—when applied to redesigned processes.

The question isn't whether to adopt AI. It's whether you'll redesign your operations first.

Smart universities are already doing this. They're:

  1. Mapping actual workflows with ruthless honesty
  2. Fixing broken processes before automating them
  3. Implementing AI to amplify excellence, not mask chaos
  4. Freeing people from busywork to do strategic work

They're seeing:

  • 50-70% efficiency gains (not 10-15%)
  • Sustainability (not technology fatigue)
  • Staff satisfaction (not burnout)
  • Measurable ROI (not hope)

This applies whether you're in São Paulo, Lisbon, Milan, London, or Singapore. The structural problems are universal. So are the solutions.

Your Strategic Decision

You have a choice:

Option 1: Keep buying tools

  • Deploy AI onto existing workflows
  • Get incremental improvements (10-15%)
  • Remain operationally similar to competitors
  • Wonder why investment doesn't deliver breakthrough results

Option 2: Redesign first

  • Understand actual workflows deeply
  • Rebuild processes around intelligence
  • Implement technology that amplifies excellence
  • Compete on operational excellence (50-70% improvements)

One leads to marginal improvement. One leads to competitive advantage.

Guess which path the top institutions are taking?

Where to Start

This isn't about AI expertise. It's about operational honesty.

Ask yourself:

  • "Where do we lose time systematically?"
  • "Where do smart people create workarounds?"
  • "What processes would we redesign if we weren't constrained by current systems?"
  • "What would operational excellence look like for our institution?"

If you can't answer these honestly, you're not ready for technology transformation. First, you need strategic clarity.

Once you have it, transformation becomes concrete. Not aspirational. Concrete.

Built with v0